The BAFTA Awards took place on Sunday night, which are regularly referred to as the “British Oscars” because, well, they are. The British Academy of Film and Television Arts Awards is the most prestigious ceremony across the pond every year, with unique categories like Best British Film and Rising Star Award. They’re also a pretty solid predictor of Oscar glory in various categories, so prognosticators like myself pay close attention.
In a shock to absolutely no one,La La Landtook home the Best Film prize as well as Best Director forDamien Chazelle, Best Actress forEmma Stone, Best Cinematography forLinus Sandgren, and Best Original Music forJustin Hurwitz. So yeah, theLa La Landtrain kept on rolling, and this is absolutely 100% your Best Picture Oscar winner. However, there were a couple of surprise wins that could signal shakeups at the Oscars in just a few weeks.

Moonlight’sMahershala Alihas been the frontrunner to win Best Supporting Actor for months now, but at the BAFTAsDev Patelpulled an upset forLion. Since the year 2005, the BAFTA and the Oscars have matched up in the Best Supporting Actor category all but three times, and signaled eventual Oscar upsets likeMark RylanceandAlan Arkin. Does this mean Ali is an underdog going into the Oscars? No, but Patel’s chances just shot way up, and given that the love forLionis pretty heavy within the industry, it wouldn’t be a shock if Oscar voters went with Patel here.
Casey Affleckwon Best Actor at the BAFTAs forManchester by the Sea, but given thatDenzel Washingtonwasn’t even nominated for a BAFTA, this just further proves that Best Actor is a two-man race rather than giving Affleck the edge. Washington won the SAG Award, which is averyaccurate predictor of Oscar glory, so this one’s gonna be a squeaker.

Kenneth Lonerganalso won Best Original Screenplay forManchesteroverLa La Land, which is probably its biggest competition in the same Oscar category. The big question there will be whetherLa La Landvoters will simply tick this off as one in a series ofLa La Landvotes, or if they’ll stop and consider Lonergan for Original Screenplay.
The BAFTAs also gave us a better idea of what might happen in some of the tighter technical categories at the Oscars.La La Landwon Cinematography, but that one’s a fairly close race withLionandMoonlightserving as serious contenders. AndJohn Gilbertwon Best Editing forHacksaw Ridgein a category that has become much more exciting in recent years with wins for films likeMad Max: Fury RoadandWhiplash. It used to be that at the Oscars, Best Editing went to the eventual Best Picture winner, but that category has been diverse as of late, and the action ofHacksaw Ridgeor intricately emotional editing of a film likeArrivalcould prevail.

Check out the full list of nominees and winners for the 2017 BAFTA Awards.
ARRIVALDan Levine, Shawn Levy, David Linde, Aaron Ryder
I, DANIEL BLAKERebecca O’Brien
LA LA LANDFred Berger, Jordan Horowitz, Marc Platt- WINNER
MANCHESTER BY THE SEALauren Beck, Matt Damon, Chris Moore, Kimberly Steward,
Kevin J. Walsh
MOONLIGHTDede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, Adele Romanski
OUTSTANDING BRITISH FILM
AMERICAN HONEYAndrea Arnold, Lars Knudsen, Pouya Shahbazian, Jay Van Hoy
DENIALMick Jackson, Gary Foster, Russ Krasnoff, David Hare
FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEMDavid Yates, J.K. Rowling, David Heyman, Steve Kloves, Lionel Wigram
I, DANIEL BLAKEKen Loach, Rebecca O’Brien, PaulLaverty- WINNER
NOTES ON BLINDNESSPeter Middleton, James Spinney, Mike Brett, Jo-Jo Ellison, Steve Jamison
UNDER THE SHADOWBabak Anvari, Emily Leo, Oliver Roskill, Lucan Toh
OUTSTANDING DEBUT BY A BRITISH WRITER, DIRECTOR OR PRODUCER
The Girl With All the Gifts: MIKE CAREY (Writer), CAMILLE GATIN (Producer)

The Hard Stop:GEORGE AMPONSAH (Writer/Director/Producer), DIONNE WALKER (Writer/Producer)
Notes on Blindness:PETER MIDDLETON (Writer/Director/Producer), JAMES SPINNEY (Writer/Director), JO-JO ELLISON (Producer)
The Pass:JOHN DONNELLY (Writer), BEN A. WILLIAMS (Director)
Under the Shadow:BABAK ANVARI (Writer/Director), EMILY LEO, OLIVER ROSKILL, LUCAN TOH (Producers) - WINNER
FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE
DHEEPANJacques Audiard, Pascal Caucheteux
JULIETAPedro Almodóvar
MUSTANGDeniz Gamze Ergüven, Charles Gillibert
SON OF SAULLászló Nemes, Gábor Sipos- WINNER
TONI ERDMANNMaren Ade, Janine Jackowski
DOCUMENTARY
13thAva DuVernay- WINNER
THE BEATLES: EIGHT DAYS A WEEK- THE TOURING YEARSRon Howard
THE EAGLE HUNTRESSOtto Bell, Stacey Reiss
NOTES ON BLINDNESSPeter Middleton, James Spinney
WEINERJosh Kriegman, Elyse Steinberg
ANIMATED FILM
FINDING DORYAndrew Stanton
KUBO AND THE TWO STRINGSTravis Knight- WINNER
MOANARon Clements, John Musker
ZOOTROPOLISByron Howard, Rich Moore
ARRIVALDenis Villeneuve
I, DANIEL BLAKEKen Loach
LA LA LANDDamien Chazelle- WINNER
MANCHESTER BY THE SEAKenneth Lonergan
NOCTURNAL ANIMALSTom Ford
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
HELL OR HIGH WATERTaylor Sheridan
I, DANIEL BLAKEPaul Laverty
LA LA LANDDamien Chazelle
MANCHESTER BY THE SEAKenneth Lonergan- WINNER
MOONLIGHTBarry Jenkins
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
ARRIVALEric Heisserer
HACKSAW RIDGERobert Schenkkan, Andrew Knight
HIDDEN FIGURESTheodore Melfi, Allison Schroeder
LIONLuke Davies- WINNER
LEADING ACTOR
ANDREW GARFIELDHacksaw Ridge
CASEY AFFLECKManchester by the Sea- WINNER
JAKE GYLLENHAALNocturnal Animals
RYAN GOSLINGLa La Land
VIGGO MORTENSENCaptain Fantastic
LEADING ACTRESS
AMY ADAMSArrival
EMILY BLUNTThe Girl on the Train
EMMA STONELa La Land- WINNER
MERYL STREEPFlorence Foster Jenkins
NATALIE PORTMANJackie
SUPPORTING ACTOR
AARON TAYLOR-JOHNSONNocturnal Animals
DEV PATELLion- WINNER
HUGH GRANTFlorence Foster Jenkins
JEFF BRIDGESHell or High Water
MAHERSHALA ALIMoonlight
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
HAYLEY SQUIRESI, Daniel Blake
MICHELLE WILLIAMSManchester by the Sea
NAOMIE HARRISMoonlight
NICOLE KIDMANLion
VIOLA DAVISFences- WINNER
ORIGINAL MUSIC
ARRIVALJóhann Jóhannsson
JACKIEMica Levi
LA LA LANDJustin Hurwitz- WINNER
LIONDustin O’Halloran, Hauschka
NOCTURNAL ANIMALSAbel Korzeniowski
CINEMATOGRAPHY
ARRIVALBradford Young
HELL OR HIGH WATERGiles Nuttgens
LA LA LANDLinus Sandgren- WINNER
LIONGreig Fraser
NOCTURNAL ANIMALSSeamus McGarvey
ARRIVALJoe Walker
HACKSAW RIDGEJohn Gilbert- WINNER
LA LA LANDTom Cross
MANCHESTER BY THE SEAJennifer Lame
NOCTURNAL ANIMALSJoan Sobel
PRODUCTION DESIGN
DOCTOR STRANGEJohn Bush, Charles Wood
FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEMStuart Craig, Anna Pinnock- WINNER
HAIL, CAESAR! Jess Gonchor, Nancy Haigh
LA LA LANDSandy Reynolds-Wasco, David Wasco
NOCTURNAL ANIMALSShane Valentino, Meg Everist
COSTUME DESIGN
ALLIEDJoanna Johnston
FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEMColleen Atwood
FLORENCE FOSTER JENKINSConsolata Boyle
JACKIEMadeline Fontaine- WINNER
LA LA LANDMary Zophres
MAKE UP & HAIR
DOCTOR STRANGEJeremy Woodhead
FLORENCE FOSTER JENKINSJ. Roy Helland, Daniel Phillips- WINNER
HACKSAW RIDGEShane Thomas
NOCTURNAL ANIMALSDonald Mowat, Yolanda Toussieng
ROGUE ONE: A STAR WARS STORYNominees tbc
ARRIVALClaude La Haye, Bernard Gariépy Strobl, Sylvain Bellemare- WINNER
DEEPWATER HORIZONMike Prestwood Smith, Dror Mohar, Wylie Stateman, David Wyman
FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEMNiv Adiri, Glenn Freemantle, Simon Hayes, Andy Nelson, Ian Tapp
HACKSAW RIDGEPeter Grace, Robert Mackenzie, Kevin O’Connell, Andy Wright
LA LA LANDMildred Iatrou Morgan, Ai-Ling Lee, Steve A. Morrow, Andy Nelson
SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS
ARRIVALLouis Morin
DOCTOR STRANGERichard Bluff, Stephane Ceretti, Paul Corbould, Jonathan Fawkner
FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEMTim Burke, Pablo Grillo, Christian Manz, David Watkins
THE JUNGLE BOOKRobert Legato, Dan Lemmon, Andrew R. Jones, Adam Valdez- WINNER

ROGUE ONE: A STAR WARS STORYNeil Corbould, Hal Hickel, Mohen Leo, John Knoll, Nigel Sumner
BRITISH SHORT ANIMATION
THE ALAN DIMENSIONJac Clinch, Jonathan Harbottle, Millie Marsh
A LOVE STORYKhaled Gad, Anushka Kishani Naanayakkara, Elena Ruscombe-King- WINNER
TOUGHJennifer Zheng
BRITISH SHORT FILM
CONSUMEDRichard John Seymour
HOMEShpat Deda, Afolabi Kuti, Daniel Mulloy, Scott O’Donnell- WINNER
MOUTH OF HELLBart Gavigan, Samir Mehanovic, Ailie Smith, Michael Wilson
THE PARTYFarah Abushwesha, Emmet Fleming, Andrea Harkin, Conor MacNeill
STANDBYCharlotte Regan, Jack Hannon
EE RISING STAR AWARD (voted for by the public)