The BAFTA Awards took place on Sunday night, which are regularly referred to as the “British Oscars” because, well, they are. The British Academy of Film and Television Arts Awards is the most prestigious ceremony across the pond every year, with unique categories like Best British Film and Rising Star Award. They’re also a pretty solid predictor of Oscar glory in various categories, so prognosticators like myself pay close attention.

In a shock to absolutely no one,La La Landtook home the Best Film prize as well as Best Director forDamien Chazelle, Best Actress forEmma Stone, Best Cinematography forLinus Sandgren, and Best Original Music forJustin Hurwitz. So yeah, theLa La Landtrain kept on rolling, and this is absolutely 100% your Best Picture Oscar winner. However, there were a couple of surprise wins that could signal shakeups at the Oscars in just a few weeks.

dev-patel-aladdin

Moonlight’sMahershala Alihas been the frontrunner to win Best Supporting Actor for months now, but at the BAFTAsDev Patelpulled an upset forLion. Since the year 2005, the BAFTA and the Oscars have matched up in the Best Supporting Actor category all but three times, and signaled eventual Oscar upsets likeMark RylanceandAlan Arkin. Does this mean Ali is an underdog going into the Oscars? No, but Patel’s chances just shot way up, and given that the love forLionis pretty heavy within the industry, it wouldn’t be a shock if Oscar voters went with Patel here.

Casey Affleckwon Best Actor at the BAFTAs forManchester by the Sea, but given thatDenzel Washingtonwasn’t even nominated for a BAFTA, this just further proves that Best Actor is a two-man race rather than giving Affleck the edge. Washington won the SAG Award, which is averyaccurate predictor of Oscar glory, so this one’s gonna be a squeaker.

manchester-by-the-sea-kenneth-lonergan

Kenneth Lonerganalso won Best Original Screenplay forManchesteroverLa La Land, which is probably its biggest competition in the same Oscar category. The big question there will be whetherLa La Landvoters will simply tick this off as one in a series ofLa La Landvotes, or if they’ll stop and consider Lonergan for Original Screenplay.

The BAFTAs also gave us a better idea of what might happen in some of the tighter technical categories at the Oscars.La La Landwon Cinematography, but that one’s a fairly close race withLionandMoonlightserving as serious contenders. AndJohn Gilbertwon Best Editing forHacksaw Ridgein a category that has become much more exciting in recent years with wins for films likeMad Max: Fury RoadandWhiplash. It used to be that at the Oscars, Best Editing went to the eventual Best Picture winner, but that category has been diverse as of late, and the action ofHacksaw Ridgeor intricately emotional editing of a film likeArrivalcould prevail.

i-daniel-blake-image

Check out the full list of nominees and winners for the 2017 BAFTA Awards.

ARRIVALDan Levine, Shawn Levy, David Linde, Aaron Ryder

I, DANIEL BLAKERebecca O’Brien

LA LA LANDFred Berger, Jordan Horowitz, Marc Platt- WINNER

MANCHESTER BY THE SEALauren Beck, Matt Damon, Chris Moore, Kimberly Steward,

Kevin J. Walsh

MOONLIGHTDede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, Adele Romanski

OUTSTANDING BRITISH FILM

AMERICAN HONEYAndrea Arnold, Lars Knudsen, Pouya Shahbazian, Jay Van Hoy

DENIALMick Jackson, Gary Foster, Russ Krasnoff, David Hare

FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEMDavid Yates, J.K. Rowling, David Heyman, Steve Kloves, Lionel Wigram

I, DANIEL BLAKEKen Loach, Rebecca O’Brien, PaulLaverty- WINNER

NOTES ON BLINDNESSPeter Middleton, James Spinney, Mike Brett, Jo-Jo Ellison, Steve Jamison

UNDER THE SHADOWBabak Anvari, Emily Leo, Oliver Roskill, Lucan Toh

OUTSTANDING DEBUT BY A BRITISH WRITER, DIRECTOR OR PRODUCER

The Girl With All the Gifts: MIKE CAREY (Writer), CAMILLE GATIN (Producer)

the-13th-ava-duvernay-newt-gingrich

The Hard Stop:GEORGE AMPONSAH (Writer/Director/Producer), DIONNE WALKER (Writer/Producer)

Notes on Blindness:PETER MIDDLETON (Writer/Director/Producer), JAMES SPINNEY (Writer/Director), JO-JO ELLISON (Producer)

The Pass:JOHN DONNELLY (Writer), BEN A. WILLIAMS (Director)

Under the Shadow:BABAK ANVARI (Writer/Director), EMILY LEO, OLIVER ROSKILL, LUCAN TOH (Producers) - WINNER

FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE

DHEEPANJacques Audiard, Pascal Caucheteux

JULIETAPedro Almodóvar

MUSTANGDeniz Gamze Ergüven, Charles Gillibert

SON OF SAULLászló Nemes, Gábor Sipos- WINNER

TONI ERDMANNMaren Ade, Janine Jackowski

DOCUMENTARY

13thAva DuVernay- WINNER

THE BEATLES: EIGHT DAYS A WEEK- THE TOURING YEARSRon Howard

THE EAGLE HUNTRESSOtto Bell, Stacey Reiss

NOTES ON BLINDNESSPeter Middleton, James Spinney

WEINERJosh Kriegman, Elyse Steinberg

ANIMATED FILM

FINDING DORYAndrew Stanton

KUBO AND THE TWO STRINGSTravis Knight- WINNER

MOANARon Clements, John Musker

ZOOTROPOLISByron Howard, Rich Moore

ARRIVALDenis Villeneuve

I, DANIEL BLAKEKen Loach

LA LA LANDDamien Chazelle- WINNER

MANCHESTER BY THE SEAKenneth Lonergan

NOCTURNAL ANIMALSTom Ford

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

HELL OR HIGH WATERTaylor Sheridan

I, DANIEL BLAKEPaul Laverty

LA LA LANDDamien Chazelle

MANCHESTER BY THE SEAKenneth Lonergan- WINNER

MOONLIGHTBarry Jenkins

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

ARRIVALEric Heisserer

HACKSAW RIDGERobert Schenkkan, Andrew Knight

HIDDEN FIGURESTheodore Melfi, Allison Schroeder

LIONLuke Davies- WINNER

LEADING ACTOR

ANDREW GARFIELDHacksaw Ridge

CASEY AFFLECKManchester by the Sea- WINNER

JAKE GYLLENHAALNocturnal Animals

RYAN GOSLINGLa La Land

VIGGO MORTENSENCaptain Fantastic

LEADING ACTRESS

AMY ADAMSArrival

EMILY BLUNTThe Girl on the Train

EMMA STONELa La Land- WINNER

MERYL STREEPFlorence Foster Jenkins

NATALIE PORTMANJackie

SUPPORTING ACTOR

AARON TAYLOR-JOHNSONNocturnal Animals

DEV PATELLion- WINNER

HUGH GRANTFlorence Foster Jenkins

JEFF BRIDGESHell or High Water

MAHERSHALA ALIMoonlight

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

HAYLEY SQUIRESI, Daniel Blake

MICHELLE WILLIAMSManchester by the Sea

NAOMIE HARRISMoonlight

NICOLE KIDMANLion

VIOLA DAVISFences- WINNER

ORIGINAL MUSIC

ARRIVALJóhann Jóhannsson

JACKIEMica Levi

LA LA LANDJustin Hurwitz- WINNER

LIONDustin O’Halloran, Hauschka

NOCTURNAL ANIMALSAbel Korzeniowski

CINEMATOGRAPHY

ARRIVALBradford Young

HELL OR HIGH WATERGiles Nuttgens

LA LA LANDLinus Sandgren- WINNER

LIONGreig Fraser

NOCTURNAL ANIMALSSeamus McGarvey

ARRIVALJoe Walker

HACKSAW RIDGEJohn Gilbert- WINNER

LA LA LANDTom Cross

MANCHESTER BY THE SEAJennifer Lame

NOCTURNAL ANIMALSJoan Sobel

PRODUCTION DESIGN

DOCTOR STRANGEJohn Bush, Charles Wood

FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEMStuart Craig, Anna Pinnock- WINNER

HAIL, CAESAR! Jess Gonchor, Nancy Haigh

LA LA LANDSandy Reynolds-Wasco, David Wasco

NOCTURNAL ANIMALSShane Valentino, Meg Everist

COSTUME DESIGN

ALLIEDJoanna Johnston

FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEMColleen Atwood

FLORENCE FOSTER JENKINSConsolata Boyle

JACKIEMadeline Fontaine- WINNER

LA LA LANDMary Zophres

MAKE UP & HAIR

DOCTOR STRANGEJeremy Woodhead

FLORENCE FOSTER JENKINSJ. Roy Helland, Daniel Phillips- WINNER

HACKSAW RIDGEShane Thomas

NOCTURNAL ANIMALSDonald Mowat, Yolanda Toussieng

ROGUE ONE: A STAR WARS STORYNominees tbc

ARRIVALClaude La Haye, Bernard Gariépy Strobl, Sylvain Bellemare- WINNER

DEEPWATER HORIZONMike Prestwood Smith, Dror Mohar, Wylie Stateman, David Wyman

FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEMNiv Adiri, Glenn Freemantle, Simon Hayes, Andy Nelson, Ian Tapp

HACKSAW RIDGEPeter Grace, Robert Mackenzie, Kevin O’Connell, Andy Wright

LA LA LANDMildred Iatrou Morgan, Ai-Ling Lee, Steve A. Morrow, Andy Nelson

SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS

ARRIVALLouis Morin

DOCTOR STRANGERichard Bluff, Stephane Ceretti, Paul Corbould, Jonathan Fawkner

FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEMTim Burke, Pablo Grillo, Christian Manz, David Watkins

THE JUNGLE BOOKRobert Legato, Dan Lemmon, Andrew R. Jones, Adam Valdez- WINNER

kubo-and-the-two-strings

ROGUE ONE: A STAR WARS STORYNeil Corbould, Hal Hickel, Mohen Leo, John Knoll, Nigel Sumner

BRITISH SHORT ANIMATION

THE ALAN DIMENSIONJac Clinch, Jonathan Harbottle, Millie Marsh

A LOVE STORYKhaled Gad, Anushka Kishani Naanayakkara, Elena Ruscombe-King- WINNER

TOUGHJennifer Zheng

BRITISH SHORT FILM

CONSUMEDRichard John Seymour

HOMEShpat Deda, Afolabi Kuti, Daniel Mulloy, Scott O’Donnell- WINNER

MOUTH OF HELLBart Gavigan, Samir Mehanovic, Ailie Smith, Michael Wilson

THE PARTYFarah Abushwesha, Emmet Fleming, Andrea Harkin, Conor MacNeill

STANDBYCharlotte Regan, Jack Hannon

EE RISING STAR AWARD (voted for by the public)

ANYA TAYLOR-JOY

LAIA COSTA

LUCAS HEDGES

RUTH NEGGA

TOM HOLLAND - WINNER